2024 Australian Open odds, props, men’s final prediction: Sinner vs. Medvedev picks from tennis expert

Italian youngster Jannik Sinner will try to follow a huge victory with a Grand Slam breakthrough when he faces Daniil Medvedev in the 2024 Australian Open men’s singles final on Sunday. Sinner snapped Novak Djokovic’s 33-match win streak at Melbourne Park in Friday’s semifinal, denying the Serb a chance at his 25th Grand Slam title and 11th in Rod Laver Arena. The 22-year-old Sinner will be making his first Grand Slam final appearance. Medvedev will play in his third Australian Open final in four years, but he lost to Djokovic in 2021 and Rafael Nadal in 2022. Medvedev rallied from two sets down to beat Alexander Zverev in Friday’s second semifinal.

First serve at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne Park is set for 3:30 a.m. ET on Sunday. The latest 2024 Australian Open odds list Sinner as a -300 favorite (risk $300 to win $100), with Medvedev priced as a +230 underdog (risk $100 to win $230). Other Medvedev vs. Sinner bets include an over-under on total games played at 38.5, Sinner -4.5 sets (-125) on the handicap and total sets (three +124, four +155 and five +255), plus many more. Before you make any Sinner vs. Medvedev picks or 2024 Australian Open predictions, you need to see what tennis expert Jose Onorato has to say.

Onorato grew up playing competitive tennis in Caracas, Venezuela. After coming to the U.S., he trained with famed coach Nick Bollettieri at IMG Academy in Florida and faced players like Robert Farah, now one of the world’s top-ranked doubles players.

Onorato, who holds dual degrees in finance and economics from the University of Miami, does extensive research before placing any tennis bets. He studies current form, players’ tendencies on a particular surface, weather conditions and many other relevant factors. That systematic approach has helped Onorato go 128-90-7 — up 69.25 units — since 2022.

For Sunday, Onorato has scrutinized the latest Australian Open 2024 odds and released his coveted best bets for the Sinner vs. Medvedev men’s final. He’s sharing his picks and expert analysis only at SportsLine. See what they are at SportsLine.

Why you should back Sinner

Getting a dominant victory in a five-set event against Djokovic on Friday was a huge step for the Italian. Sinner had beaten Djokovic in two of the previous three meetings — at last season’s ATP Finals and Davis Cup Finals — but this was much bigger. He forced numerous errors from the men’s game’s most decorated player, and Sinner’s accuracy and powerful backhand should give Medvedev a lot of trouble. Winning a Grand Slam title soon seems inevitable for Sinner.

The 22-year-old has also had Medvedev’s number. The Russian has a 6-3 advantage in all-time meetings, but Sinner has won the past three. He beat Medvedev in finals at Beijing and Vienna last season and has 10 career ATP titles. Add in that Medvedev just played a semifinal that lasted more than four hours, and the odds seem stacked against him. Sinner led the ATP Tour by saving 69.6% of break points and was second in winning 73.9% of deciding sets in 2023. See what to back at SportsLine.

Why you should back Medvedev

The Russian is a relentlessly consistent player, and that approach took him to the world’s No. 1 ranking two years ago. He now ranks No. 3, just ahead of Sinner. Medvedev has the advantage of having played in two previous finals in Rod Laver Arena and having five Grand Slam final appearances under his belt. He beat Djokovic to win the 2021 U.S. Open, and he has shown repeatedly in Melbourne that he won’t give in. He has rallied from two sets down to win twice.

Medvedev has one of the best return games on the ATP Tour and keeps the ball in play, trying to force his opponent into mistakes. With nerves possibly affecting Sinner on the big stage, it could be an effective strategy. The 27-year-old won 31.4% of his return games last season and converted 46.4% of break points, leading the tour in both categories. The 6-foot-6 Medvedev also has a powerful first serve and is one of the tour’s most consistent players on hard courts. See what to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 Australian Open men’s singles final picks

Onorato has locked in his best bets for the men’s final. He is leaning Under 39.5 total games (-120), but he has two even stronger picks, on the outright winner and the handicap. You need to see his pick and analysis before considering any 2024 Australian Open bets.

So who wins Medvedev vs. Sinner, and what are the picks that could lead to big returns? Check out Jose Onorato’s analysis for the 2024 Australian Open men’s final, all from the tennis expert who’s up 69.25 units since 2022.


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